Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-10-22, Ak-Chin Pavilion were:
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.1 shows)
Carini (7, 5.6 shows)
Tube (6, 5.9 shows)
46 Days (6, 5.3 shows)
Everything's Right (6, 5.5 shows)
Simple (6, 8.1 shows)
Sand (6, 5 shows)
Harry Hood (6, 5.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 6.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.5 shows)
Ghost (6, 5 shows)
Free (5, 5.3 shows)
Possum (5, 5.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 7.3 shows)
Character Zero (5, 6.1 shows)
Meat (4, 18.3 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
The Wedge (4, 11 shows)
More (4, 9.1 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 12.9 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.3 shows)
Piper (4, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 7.8 shows)
555 (3, 13.7 shows)
Cavern (3, 9.5 shows)
Tweezer (3, 6.6 shows)
Rise/Come Together (3, 36.5 shows)
Waste (3, 12.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (3, 9.5 shows)
Fuego (3, 8.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (3, 8.1 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 6.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 9.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.9 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (3, 7.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.