Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-09-01, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Tweezer (13, 5.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (10, 5.1 shows)
Carini (9, 5.5 shows)
Possum (9, 5.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 5.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 10.5 shows)
Fuego (8, 7.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.8 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 7.4 shows)
Wilson (7, 9.8 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.3 shows)
Plasma (7, 9.8 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 13.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 12.3 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (6, 15.7 shows)
Saw It Again (6, 17.7 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.6 shows)
Rise/Come Together (6, 18.9 shows)
Martian Monster (6, 13.5 shows)
Maze (6, 7.6 shows)
Simple (6, 7.9 shows)
We Are Come to Outlive Our Brains (6, 28.3 shows)
Waste (6, 10.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 17.7 shows)
Cavern (5, 9.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 11.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.4 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 14.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.6 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 18.9 shows)
Roggae (4, 13.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.1 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 11.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 48% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.