Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-08-31, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Tweezer (13, 5.9 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (12, 6.8 shows)
46 Days (12, 4.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 5 shows)
Tube (11, 5.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 5.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 6.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.7 shows)
Fuego (9, 6.9 shows)
Possum (9, 5.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 10.5 shows)
Carini (9, 5.6 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 6 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 5.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 7.5 shows)
Wilson (7, 9.8 shows)
Plasma (7, 9.8 shows)
The Wedge (7, 9.5 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.3 shows)
Martian Monster (6, 13.5 shows)
Maze (6, 7.7 shows)
Simple (6, 7.9 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 13.5 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (6, 15.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7.7 shows)
Waste (6, 10.9 shows)
Saw It Again (6, 17.8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 12.3 shows)
We Are Come to Outlive Our Brains (6, 28.4 shows)
Rise/Come Together (6, 18.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 11.8 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 14.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.