Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-07-12, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
No Men In No Man's Land (18, 5.5 shows)
Twist (17, 5.6 shows)
Blaze On (16, 4.8 shows)
Everything's Right (16, 4.9 shows)
Tweezer (15, 5.9 shows)
Character Zero (14, 5.5 shows)
Sand (14, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 5.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 7.4 shows)
Free (13, 5.1 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.1 shows)
Fuego (13, 6.7 shows)
Tube (13, 5.6 shows)
Mercury (12, 9.5 shows)
Martian Monster (10, 12.1 shows)
The Wedge (10, 8.9 shows)
Light (10, 7.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 10.4 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 7.4 shows)
555 (8, 11.7 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 12.1 shows)
Ocelot (7, 14.4 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 11.7 shows)
Julius (7, 15.2 shows)
Roggae (7, 12.6 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (7, 6.3 shows)
Farmhouse (7, 14.4 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.8 shows)
Miss You (6, 21.6 shows)
Sparkle (6, 20.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 10.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.