Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-07-10, Mohegan Sun Arena were:
No Men In No Man's Land (18, 5.5 shows)
Twist (17, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (15, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 5.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (14, 5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 5.6 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (13, 7.4 shows)
Steam (11, 8 shows)
Martian Monster (10, 12.1 shows)
The Wedge (10, 8.9 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 10.4 shows)
Light (10, 7.4 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 7.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 12.1 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 11.7 shows)
Julius (7, 15.2 shows)
Roggae (7, 12.1 shows)
Piper (7, 7 shows)
Farmhouse (7, 14.4 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.8 shows)
Cavern (7, 8.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 12.1 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 12.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 16.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Miss You (6, 21.6 shows)
Sparkle (6, 20.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
Saw It Again (6, 16.8 shows)
Shade (6, 11.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.7 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.