Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-07-09, Mohegan Sun Arena were:
Twist (17, 5.6 shows)
Tweezer (15, 5.9 shows)
Ghost (14, 4.7 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (14, 5 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (13, 5.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 6.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (11, 5.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (10, 10.4 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.4 shows)
Light (10, 7.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (9, 7.4 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 12.6 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 12.1 shows)
Cavern (7, 8.9 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.8 shows)
Julius (7, 15.2 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (7, 11.7 shows)
Farmhouse (7, 14.4 shows)
Piper (7, 6.9 shows)
Waste (7, 10.8 shows)
Roggae (7, 12.1 shows)
Miss You (6, 21.6 shows)
Sparkle (6, 20.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 12.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 16.8 shows)
Saw It Again (6, 16.8 shows)
Maze (6, 7.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (6, 12.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.