Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-06-21, PNC Music Pavilion were:
Character Zero (12, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer (11, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 5.9 shows)
Carini (11, 5.4 shows)
Tube (11, 5.6 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 5.1 shows)
Possum (10, 5.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 7.2 shows)
Martian Monster (9, 11.7 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 5.8 shows)
Steam (9, 8 shows)
More (9, 7.4 shows)
Light (9, 7.4 shows)
Mercury (9, 9.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 10.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 9.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.4 shows)
Simple (8, 7.6 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8.9 shows)
Roggae (6, 12.1 shows)
Piper (6, 6.9 shows)
Waste (6, 10.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 11.7 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 14.4 shows)
Julius (5, 15.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.6 shows)
Joy (5, 18.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 16.8 shows)
Maze (5, 7.8 shows)
Sparkle (5, 20.2 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 16.8 shows)
Bug (4, 10.8 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 17.8 shows)
Cities (4, 15.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.