Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-06-22, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
No Men In No Man's Land (15, 5.5 shows)
Twist (15, 5.5 shows)
Blaze On (13, 4.8 shows)
Ghost (12, 4.7 shows)
Character Zero (12, 5.5 shows)
Carini (11, 5.4 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 5.1 shows)
Tube (11, 5.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (11, 6.7 shows)
Fuego (11, 6.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (10, 6.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 5.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 7.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 10.4 shows)
Steam (9, 8 shows)
Martian Monster (9, 11.7 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 5.8 shows)
Light (9, 7.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 9.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.7 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 7.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.4 shows)
Simple (8, 7.6 shows)
Cavern (7, 8.9 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.4 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8.9 shows)
Wilson (7, 9.5 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 14.4 shows)
Roggae (6, 12.1 shows)
Waste (6, 10.8 shows)
Piper (6, 6.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 11.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Sparkle (5, 20.2 shows)
Joy (5, 18.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 27-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.