Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-06-19, Blossom Music Center were:
Tube (11, 5.6 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 7.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 5.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (9, 10.4 shows)
Light (9, 7.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (9, 9.8 shows)
Simple (8, 7.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.4 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8.9 shows)
Soul Planet (7, 12.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 11.7 shows)
Roggae (6, 12.1 shows)
Waste (6, 10.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 11.7 shows)
Farmhouse (6, 14.4 shows)
Piper (6, 6.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.6 shows)
Joy (5, 18.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 16.8 shows)
Julius (5, 15.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.7 shows)
Sparkle (5, 20.2 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 16.8 shows)
Maze (5, 7.8 shows)
Undermind (4, 12.6 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.2 shows)
Waves (4, 20.2 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 17.8 shows)
Cities (4, 15.2 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 18.9 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 11.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 18.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.