Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2019-06-18, Budweiser Stage were:
Tube (11, 5.6 shows)
46 Days (11, 4.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7.4 shows)
Simple (8, 7.6 shows)
Soul Planet (7, 12.6 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.9 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8.9 shows)
Piper (6, 6.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 11.7 shows)
555 (6, 11.7 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (6, 11.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.7 shows)
Julius (5, 15.2 shows)
Maze (5, 7.8 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.8 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 16.8 shows)
Ocelot (5, 14.4 shows)
Joy (5, 18.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (5, 16.8 shows)
Sparkle (5, 20.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.6 shows)
Miss You (4, 21.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 9.5 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (4, 16.8 shows)
Cities (4, 15.2 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 17.8 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 10.1 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.2 shows)
Bug (4, 10.8 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 11.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 21.6 shows)
Stash (4, 7.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.