Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-31, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Run Like an Antelope (8, 7 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 4.9 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 5.6 shows)
Free (7, 5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.8 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.5 shows)
Light (7, 7.1 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 5.7 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 11.8 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
Julius (6, 14 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 6.7 shows)
More (6, 7.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 10.2 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.4 shows)
Maze (5, 7.5 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.5 shows)
555 (5, 11 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.3 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6.5 shows)
Piper (5, 7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 7.7 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.3 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 13.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Sparkle (4, 20.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 28-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.