Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-11-01, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.3 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 4.9 shows)
Sand (8, 4.7 shows)
Possum (7, 5.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 5.6 shows)
Light (7, 7.1 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 5.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.8 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.5 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 11.8 shows)
Julius (6, 14 shows)
Wilson (6, 9 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
Martian Monster (6, 11.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 11.4 shows)
555 (5, 11 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.5 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.7 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 7.1 shows)
Piper (5, 7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6.5 shows)
Mercury (5, 9.3 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.4 shows)
Maze (5, 7.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 10.6 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (4, 11.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 7.7 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.1 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 13.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9 shows)
Reba (4, 8.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.