Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-28, Allstate Arena were:
Ghost (8, 4.6 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.4 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 4.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 5.6 shows)
Carini (7, 5.3 shows)
Free (7, 5 shows)
Light (7, 7.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7.1 shows)
Twist (7, 5.4 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.5 shows)
Tube (6, 5.5 shows)
More (6, 7.3 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 6.7 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 8.8 shows)
Simple (6, 7.3 shows)
Julius (6, 14 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.4 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.5 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 10.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6.4 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 7 shows)
Piper (5, 7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 9.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.2 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 6.1 shows)
Sparkle (4, 19.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 7.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 11.4 shows)
Your Pet Cat (3, 30.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.