Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-24, Ascend Amphitheater were:
Blaze On (8, 4.7 shows)
Carini (7, 5.2 shows)
Twist (7, 5.4 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 4.8 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.3 shows)
Sand (7, 4.7 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (7, 4.8 shows)
Tube (6, 5.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.8 shows)
Steam (6, 7.7 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.7 shows)
Julius (6, 14 shows)
Piper (5, 7 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.4 shows)
Wilson (5, 8.8 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11.4 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 11.8 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 8.3 shows)
Sparkle (4, 19.2 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 11.4 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.7 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Mercury (4, 9.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.2 shows)
Maze (4, 7.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15.4 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.2 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 13.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.