Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-23, Ascend Amphitheater were:
Character Zero (7, 5.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.8 shows)
Everything's Right (7, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 4.8 shows)
The Wedge (7, 8.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.2 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (7, 4.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 5.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (6, 5.5 shows)
Tube (6, 5.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7 shows)
Steam (6, 7.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.8 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.7 shows)
Free (6, 5 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.1 shows)
Julius (6, 14 shows)
Piper (5, 6.8 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.3 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11.4 shows)
Wilson (5, 8.8 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 6.5 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 11.8 shows)
Maze (4, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 7 shows)
Mercury (4, 9.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 6.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 10.2 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 11 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 11 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.