Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-21, Hampton Coliseum were:
Character Zero (7, 5.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.8 shows)
Everything's Right (7, 4.7 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 4.8 shows)
Ghost (7, 4.5 shows)
Free (6, 5 shows)
Tube (6, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 5.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.8 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.7 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11.4 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 8.5 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.3 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 11.8 shows)
More (5, 7.1 shows)
Piper (5, 6.8 shows)
Possum (5, 5.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 11 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 6.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.2 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 10.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
Maze (4, 7.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 25.6 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.2 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.8 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 13.3 shows)
Back on the Train (3, 6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.