Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-20, Hampton Coliseum were:
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.8 shows)
Fuego (6, 6.5 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 5.7 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.6 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 11.8 shows)
Possum (5, 5.5 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 8.5 shows)
Ocelot (5, 13.3 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
Tweezer (5, 5.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.6 shows)
More (5, 7.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 10.2 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.5 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Maze (4, 7.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (4, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 6.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 6.3 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 16.2 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 13.3 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.3 shows)
Wombat (3, 34.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 8.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (3, 11.4 shows)
Reba (3, 8.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15.4 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 25.6 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.2 shows)
Back on the Train (3, 6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 11.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.