Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-10-19, Hampton Coliseum were:
Blaze On (7, 4.7 shows)
Fuego (6, 6.5 shows)
Carini (6, 5.2 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.6 shows)
Twist (6, 5.4 shows)
Sand (6, 4.7 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 8.5 shows)
More (5, 7.1 shows)
Simple (5, 7.3 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 11 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.3 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (4, 7.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 6.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Roggae (4, 11.4 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 6.8 shows)
Heavy Things (3, 25.6 shows)
Sparkle (3, 19.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.3 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.2 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (3, 9.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (3, 11.4 shows)
Back on the Train (3, 6 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 13.3 shows)
Reba (3, 8.5 shows)
Wombat (3, 34.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.7 shows)
Waking Up Dead (2, 153.5 shows)
First Tube (2, 6.1 shows)
Your Pet Cat (2, 30.7 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (2, 30.7 shows)
Fluffhead (2, 8.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.