Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-09-02, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.8 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5 shows)
46 Days (6, 4.7 shows)
Character Zero (5, 5.3 shows)
Possum (5, 5.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10.6 shows)
Steam (4, 7.7 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 6.3 shows)
Soul Planet (4, 11.8 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 6.8 shows)
Ocelot (4, 13.4 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Wilson (4, 8.8 shows)
Roggae (4, 11.4 shows)
Tube (4, 5.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
Sparkle (3, 19.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.5 shows)
First Tube (3, 6 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.2 shows)
Waste (3, 10.3 shows)
Walls of the Cave (3, 11 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.1 shows)
Meatstick (3, 18.1 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15.4 shows)
Reba (3, 8.3 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (3, 16.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (3, 9.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (3, 9.9 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 13.4 shows)
Maze (3, 7.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 10.6 shows)
Ass Handed (2, 34.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 52% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.