Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-09-01, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 8.6 shows)
Down with Disease (6, 5.5 shows)
Everything's Right (6, 4.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.4 shows)
Possum (5, 5.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (5, 5.4 shows)
Steam (5, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 6.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6.2 shows)
Character Zero (5, 5.3 shows)
Reba (4, 8.1 shows)
Soul Planet (4, 11.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10.7 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 10.7 shows)
More (4, 7.2 shows)
Roggae (4, 11.4 shows)
Tube (4, 5.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (4, 8.8 shows)
555 (4, 11 shows)
Ocelot (4, 13.4 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 13.4 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (3, 15.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (3, 16.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.5 shows)
Meatstick (3, 18.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (3, 15.5 shows)
Waste (3, 10.3 shows)
First Tube (3, 6.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (3, 10 shows)
Maze (3, 7.5 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (3, 16.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 28% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.