Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-08-08, BB&T Pavilion were:
555 (5, 10.5 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 5.1 shows)
Everything's Right (5, 4.6 shows)
Tube (5, 5.4 shows)
Simple (5, 7.1 shows)
Carini (5, 5.1 shows)
Ghost (5, 4.4 shows)
Harry Hood (5, 4.6 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.3 shows)
More (4, 7 shows)
Martian Monster (4, 10.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 10.5 shows)
Free (4, 4.9 shows)
Steam (4, 7.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (4, 6.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.8 shows)
Back on the Train (4, 5.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.2 shows)
Ocelot (3, 13.1 shows)
Tweezer (3, 5.6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (3, 10.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.3 shows)
Julius (3, 13.7 shows)
First Tube (3, 5.9 shows)
The Horse (2, 28.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (2, 26.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 15.7 shows)
Winterqueen (2, 44.9 shows)
The Lizards (2, 14.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.1 shows)
Rise/Come Together (2, 18.5 shows)
Meatstick (2, 17.4 shows)
Waste (2, 10.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 10.1 shows)
Your Pet Cat (2, 31.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.