Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2018-08-07, BB&T Pavilion were:
Everything's Right (5, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (5, 5.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (5, 5.1 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (4, 6.8 shows)
Roggae (4, 10.8 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.2 shows)
Light (4, 6.7 shows)
Steam (4, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 6.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (4, 6.7 shows)
46 Days (4, 4.6 shows)
Ocelot (3, 13.1 shows)
Julius (3, 13.7 shows)
Wilson (3, 8.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (3, 10.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.1 shows)
Ass Handed (2, 34.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (2, 8.3 shows)
The Lizards (2, 14.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 15.7 shows)
Rise/Come Together (2, 18.5 shows)
Meatstick (2, 17.4 shows)
Farmhouse (2, 13.7 shows)
Waste (2, 10.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 10.1 shows)
Your Pet Cat (2, 31.4 shows)
Waking Up Dead (2, 157 shows)
Silent in the Morning (2, 26.2 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (2, 16.5 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 26.2 shows)
The Horse (2, 28.5 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (2, 15 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (2, 7.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.