Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-08-06, Madison Square Garden were:
Harry Hood (10, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (10, 5.4 shows)
Blaze On (10, 4.6 shows)
Fuego (10, 6.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.6 shows)
46 Days (9, 4.7 shows)
Twist (8, 5.3 shows)
Tube (8, 5.4 shows)
Carini (8, 5.1 shows)
Possum (8, 5.3 shows)
Piper (8, 6.6 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.3 shows)
Ass Handed (7, 22.3 shows)
Mercury (7, 8.7 shows)
Martian Monster (7, 9.9 shows)
Stash (7, 6.9 shows)
More (7, 6.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.3 shows)
Simple (7, 6.9 shows)
Sand (7, 4.7 shows)
555 (7, 9.6 shows)
Free (7, 5 shows)
Tweezer (7, 5.7 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
Breath and Burning (7, 29.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 8.3 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 15.5 shows)
Roggae (6, 10.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 17 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 18.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 15% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.