Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-14, North Charleston Coliseum were:
Martian Monster (8, 9.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.9 shows)
Free (7, 5.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.2 shows)
Carini (7, 5.3 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (6, 14.2 shows)
The Line (6, 30.8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 8.4 shows)
Possum (6, 5.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.5 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.8 shows)
Julius (5, 12.3 shows)
Horn (5, 19.4 shows)
Rift (5, 9.7 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.4 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 12.7 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.9 shows)
Reba (4, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (4, 9.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 14.8 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10 shows)
Roggae (4, 10.3 shows)
Cities (4, 13.2 shows)
Waiting All Night (4, 36.9 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.2 shows)
Space Oddity (4, 52.7 shows)
Saw It Again (4, 15.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.4 shows)
Axilla (4, 20.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.9 shows)
It's Ice (4, 19.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 14.2 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 15.4 shows)
Ocelot (3, 12.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.