Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-10-15, North Charleston Coliseum were:
46 Days (9, 4.8 shows)
Martian Monster (8, 9.2 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.2 shows)
Carini (7, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 8.4 shows)
Possum (6, 5.6 shows)
Breath and Burning (6, 21.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 8 shows)
The Line (6, 30.8 shows)
Tweezer (6, 6 shows)
Stash (6, 7.1 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (6, 14.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 10.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.4 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
Rift (5, 9.7 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.4 shows)
Julius (5, 12.3 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 14.2 shows)
Reba (4, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (4, 9.5 shows)
Axilla (4, 20.5 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10 shows)
Waiting All Night (4, 36.9 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.2 shows)
Saw It Again (4, 15.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (4, 9.5 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.9 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 14% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.