Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-08-28, Oak Ridge Farm were:
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6.4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.7 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.9 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (7, 5.2 shows)
Sand (6, 4.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.6 shows)
The Line (6, 28.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.3 shows)
Roggae (5, 10.1 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (5, 14.3 shows)
Rift (5, 9.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 7 shows)
Tweezer (5, 6 shows)
Possum (5, 5.6 shows)
Julius (5, 12.4 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.8 shows)
Waiting All Night (5, 33.8 shows)
Breath and Burning (5, 21.9 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (4, 16.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 13.8 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (4, 46.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 14.9 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10.1 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10.6 shows)
What's the Use? (4, 8.1 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.6 shows)
Cities (4, 13.3 shows)
NICU (3, 12.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 10.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 9.1 shows)
Seven Below (3, 26.6 shows)
The Horse (3, 24.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (3, 23.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 36% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.