Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-08-26, Oak Ridge Farm were:
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.7 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 5.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.3 shows)
Free (7, 5.1 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.6 shows)
Sand (6, 4.9 shows)
The Line (6, 28.6 shows)
Simple (5, 6.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 7 shows)
Roggae (5, 10.1 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (5, 14.3 shows)
Wingsuit (5, 15.5 shows)
Rift (5, 9.8 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.8 shows)
Tweezer (5, 6 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.3 shows)
Possum (5, 5.6 shows)
Breath and Burning (5, 21.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 13.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (4, 16.9 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (4, 46.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10.6 shows)
Wilson (4, 9.3 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.6 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10.6 shows)
Cities (4, 13.3 shows)
What's the Use? (4, 8.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 9.1 shows)
NICU (3, 12.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 10.9 shows)
It's Ice (3, 19.6 shows)
The Landlady (3, 41.3 shows)
The Horse (3, 24.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (3, 23.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.