Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-23, Sleep Train Amphitheatre were:
46 Days (14, 4.7 shows)
Martian Monster (13, 8.7 shows)
Twist (12, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer (12, 5.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 6.7 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.8 shows)
555 (11, 8.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (11, 5.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 5.6 shows)
The Line (10, 23 shows)
Possum (10, 5.5 shows)
Walls of the Cave (9, 9.5 shows)
Carini (9, 5.3 shows)
Roggae (9, 9.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (9, 8.9 shows)
Sand (9, 4.9 shows)
Simple (8, 6.9 shows)
Rift (8, 9.5 shows)
Tube (8, 5.4 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.8 shows)
Reba (7, 9.3 shows)
Piper (7, 6.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (7, 10.3 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 14.5 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 5.9 shows)
Undermind (7, 11.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (7, 13 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 10.3 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.8 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 16.3 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 15.6 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 12.2 shows)
Steam (5, 8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 76% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.