Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-22, The Forum were:
Blaze On (14, 4.5 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 4.8 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer (12, 5.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (12, 6.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.3 shows)
555 (11, 8.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (11, 5.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (11, 5.4 shows)
The Wedge (9, 7.7 shows)
Walls of the Cave (9, 9.6 shows)
Carini (9, 5.4 shows)
Sand (9, 5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 8.5 shows)
Undermind (8, 10.9 shows)
Reba (8, 9.1 shows)
Rift (8, 9.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 11.5 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.9 shows)
Stash (8, 7.1 shows)
Tube (8, 5.4 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (8, 13.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 9.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (7, 10.6 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 8 shows)
Piper (7, 6.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (7, 14.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 17 shows)
Yarmouth Road (7, 26.1 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 15.7 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 16.3 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 17.8 shows)
Cavern (6, 8.3 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 6.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 54% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.