Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-16, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
Fuego (15, 5.5 shows)
46 Days (14, 4.6 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 6.2 shows)
555 (11, 8.4 shows)
Light (11, 6.4 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 6.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (11, 5.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5.6 shows)
Possum (10, 5.5 shows)
The Wedge (10, 7.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (10, 23.2 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.6 shows)
Reba (8, 9.2 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (8, 13.1 shows)
Roggae (8, 9.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.5 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
Yarmouth Road (7, 26.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 17.1 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 13.6 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.9 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.9 shows)
Cities (6, 13.1 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 15.2 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.7 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (6, 56.3 shows)
Horn (6, 17.9 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 17.9 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.4 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 13.1 shows)
How Many People Are You (5, 39.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 21.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.