Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-18, Bill Graham Civic Auditorium were:
Fuego (15, 5.5 shows)
46 Days (14, 4.6 shows)
Down with Disease (12, 5.4 shows)
Free (11, 5.1 shows)
Light (11, 6.4 shows)
The Wedge (10, 7.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (10, 6.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.5 shows)
Possum (10, 5.5 shows)
Waiting All Night (10, 23.2 shows)
Julius (8, 11.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (8, 9 shows)
Roggae (8, 9.6 shows)
Reba (8, 9.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8.2 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 13.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 17.1 shows)
Yarmouth Road (7, 26.3 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (6, 56.3 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 17.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 13.1 shows)
Cities (6, 13.1 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.7 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.9 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.9 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.8 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 15.2 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 21.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 14.6 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 12.3 shows)
How Many People Are You (5, 39.4 shows)
The Dogs (5, 28.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.