Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-15, Gorge Amphitheatre were:
No Men In No Man's Land (13, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.7 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 6.2 shows)
555 (11, 8.4 shows)
Mike's Song (11, 6.6 shows)
Tweezer (11, 5.8 shows)
Possum (10, 5.5 shows)
Waiting All Night (10, 23.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 5.6 shows)
The Wedge (10, 7.6 shows)
The Line (9, 21.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 11.3 shows)
Stash (8, 6.9 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 9.6 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.6 shows)
Reba (8, 9.2 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (8, 13.1 shows)
Rift (8, 9.4 shows)
Roggae (8, 9.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 17.1 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 13.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 9.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 8.4 shows)
Yarmouth Road (7, 26.3 shows)
Undermind (7, 10.9 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 14.6 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 15.2 shows)
First Tube (6, 6.7 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (6, 56.3 shows)
Horn (6, 17.9 shows)
Heavy Things (6, 17.9 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 13.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.