Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-07-10, Lakeview Amphitheater were:
No Men In No Man's Land (13, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 4.7 shows)
Martian Monster (11, 8.8 shows)
Twist (11, 5.3 shows)
Waiting All Night (10, 23.2 shows)
Character Zero (10, 5.3 shows)
The Wedge (10, 7.6 shows)
Possum (10, 5.5 shows)
Farmhouse (8, 11.6 shows)
Reba (8, 9.2 shows)
Tube (8, 5.4 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (8, 13.1 shows)
Rift (8, 9.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (8, 11.3 shows)
Walls of the Cave (8, 9.6 shows)
Roggae (8, 9.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Rock and Roll (7, 17.1 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (7, 13.6 shows)
Simple (7, 6.8 shows)
Undermind (7, 10.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 9.2 shows)
Piper (6, 6.8 shows)
What's the Use? (6, 8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 6 shows)
Horn (6, 17.9 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.9 shows)
Limb By Limb (6, 13.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 10.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (6, 14.6 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.9 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (5, 16.4 shows)
Silent in the Morning (5, 21.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 8.8 shows)
Cavern (5, 8.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 27% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.