Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-12-31, Madison Square Garden were:
Fuego (10, 5.4 shows)
Blaze On (9, 4.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.3 shows)
Possum (7, 5.3 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
The Wedge (6, 7.7 shows)
Undermind (6, 10.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (6, 5.2 shows)
Stash (6, 6.6 shows)
Walls of the Cave (6, 9.3 shows)
Maze (6, 7.3 shows)
Sand (5, 4.9 shows)
Reba (5, 8.7 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 11.7 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (5, 45.3 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.1 shows)
David Bowie (4, 9.3 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 14.6 shows)
Yarmouth Road (4, 25.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 14.6 shows)
Julius (4, 11.3 shows)
Rift (4, 9.1 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.6 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8 shows)
How Many People Are You (3, 40.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (3, 9.3 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 12.4 shows)
Dirt (3, 22.7 shows)
Horn (3, 17.7 shows)
Meatstick (3, 15.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 6.9 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 21.5 shows)
Shade (3, 12.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 26-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.