Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-07-28, Austin360 Amphitheater were:
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.1 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (8, 11.3 shows)
Ghost (8, 4.3 shows)
Sand (7, 4.9 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 10 shows)
Ocelot (7, 11.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 6 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.4 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 9.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 5.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.2 shows)
Devotion To a Dream (6, 35.8 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.8 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 17.9 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 13.8 shows)
Piper (6, 6.5 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
The Wedge (6, 7.4 shows)
David Bowie (5, 9.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 9.1 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 8.6 shows)
Rift (5, 9.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 13.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 9.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.5 shows)
Julius (4, 11 shows)
Sparkle (4, 18.7 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 13.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (4, 6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.6 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 10.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (3, 10.5 shows)
Gumbo (3, 14.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 44% of the actual 25-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.