Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-07-25, The Forum were:
Tweezer (11, 5.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (8, 16.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 6.5 shows)
Ocelot (7, 11.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.5 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 5.3 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 9 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 18 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 8.5 shows)
Piper (6, 6.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.4 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 13.9 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.4 shows)
David Bowie (5, 9.2 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 13.5 shows)
Carini (5, 5.3 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 16 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 5.9 shows)
Julius (5, 10.8 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 13.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8 shows)
Sparkle (4, 18.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.5 shows)
Roggae (4, 9.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (4, 9.2 shows)
Wombat (4, 25.4 shows)
The Horse (3, 22.7 shows)
Gumbo (3, 14.4 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 13.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (3, 10.5 shows)
Silent in the Morning (3, 20.5 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 10.3 shows)
Cities (3, 12.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.