Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2015-07-24, Shoreline Amphitheatre were:
Tweezer (11, 5.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (9, 16 shows)
Free (9, 4.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 5 shows)
The Line (9, 16 shows)
Twist (8, 5.1 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.5 shows)
Piper (7, 6.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 6.5 shows)
Ocelot (7, 11.4 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 7.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.3 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 8.5 shows)
Poor Heart (6, 18 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 21.6 shows)
Meatstick (5, 14.4 shows)
Lawn Boy (5, 13.5 shows)
Carini (5, 5.3 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (5, 13.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 5.9 shows)
Julius (5, 10.8 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 16 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.6 shows)
Roggae (4, 9.4 shows)
Wombat (4, 25.4 shows)
Sparkle (4, 18.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (4, 8 shows)
Reba (4, 8.8 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (4, 12.3 shows)
Undermind (4, 10.5 shows)
Cities (3, 12.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (3, 10.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 9.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 60% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.