Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-10, Thompson-Boling Arena were:
Free (3, 4.8 shows)
Down with Disease (3, 4.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 6.4 shows)
NICU (2, 10.1 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (2, 10.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 7.6 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 17.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (2, 11.1 shows)
David Bowie (2, 6.1 shows)
Waste (2, 12.8 shows)
Farmhouse (2, 13.3 shows)
Grind (2, 22.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (2, 8.5 shows)
Ocelot (2, 6.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.8 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (2, 12.3 shows)
Reba (2, 7.5 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (2, 5 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (2, 37.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (2, 5.2 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 9.5 shows)
Piper (2, 5.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Mike's Song (2, 5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (2, 4.9 shows)
A Day in the Life (2, 22.5 shows)
Twist (2, 5.1 shows)
Wilson (2, 7.1 shows)
Foam (2, 20.5 shows)
Twenty Years Later (1, 14.4 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
Train Song (1, 30.7 shows)
Rift (1, 7.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.