Trey's Notebook

Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-12, Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival were:
Down with Disease (3, 4.3 shows)
Free (3, 4.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 6.4 shows)
Farmhouse (2, 13.3 shows)
NICU (2, 10.1 shows)
Fluffhead (2, 7.6 shows)
I Didn't Know (2, 21.1 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 17.8 shows)
Taste (2, 14.7 shows)
Waste (2, 12.8 shows)
Twist (2, 5.1 shows)
Grind (2, 22.5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (2, 8.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (2, 8.8 shows)
Heavy Things (2, 11.5 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (2, 37.6 shows)
Contact (2, 32.2 shows)
Bug (2, 10.4 shows)
Seven Below (2, 19.9 shows)
Lawn Boy (2, 10.6 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 9.5 shows)
Piper (2, 5.5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (2, 7.5 shows)
A Day in the Life (2, 22.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (2, 5 shows)
Wilson (2, 7.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.8 shows)
AC/DC Bag (2, 7.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (2, 9.1 shows)
Scent of a Mule (2, 20.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (2, 10.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (2, 5.2 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (1, 42.3 shows)
Rift (1, 7.4 shows)
Horn (1, 15.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 42% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year Explain!

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