Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2009-06-09, Asheville Civic Center were:
You Enjoy Myself (3, 6.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (2, 7 shows)
Stash (2, 5.9 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (2, 10.9 shows)
Farmhouse (2, 13.3 shows)
NICU (2, 10.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (2, 4.8 shows)
Time Turns Elastic (2, 37.6 shows)
Foam (2, 20.5 shows)
Water in the Sky (2, 17.8 shows)
The Squirming Coil (2, 11.1 shows)
David Bowie (2, 6.1 shows)
Waste (2, 12.8 shows)
Divided Sky (2, 7.3 shows)
Grind (2, 22.5 shows)
Loving Cup (2, 9.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (2, 8.5 shows)
Ocelot (2, 6.6 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (2, 12.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (2, 4.5 shows)
Reba (2, 7.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (2, 4.9 shows)
Mike's Song (2, 5 shows)
Birds of a Feather (2, 8.1 shows)
Ghost (2, 4.5 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 9.5 shows)
Guelah Papyrus (1, 28.2 shows)
Beauty of a Broken Heart (1, 45.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (1, 7.6 shows)
It's Ice (1, 14.7 shows)
Meatstick (1, 12.5 shows)
Mexican Cousin (1, 75.1 shows)
Brian and Robert (1, 29.4 shows)
Train Song (1, 30.7 shows)
Horn (1, 15.7 shows)
The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony (1, 42.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.