Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-12-17, Hampton Coliseum were:
Mike's Song (14, 4.9 shows)
Ghost (13, 4.7 shows)
First Tube (13, 6 shows)
Birds of a Feather (13, 7.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 7.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (13, 9.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (13, 5.2 shows)
Character Zero (13, 4.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 4.8 shows)
Simple (12, 7.4 shows)
David Bowie (12, 5.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (12, 10.7 shows)
Meatstick (12, 11.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (12, 4.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (12, 7.3 shows)
Stash (11, 5.9 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4.1 shows)
Cavern (11, 5.9 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 8.2 shows)
Twist (10, 4.9 shows)
Bug (10, 8.6 shows)
Taste (9, 11.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (9, 7.2 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 16 shows)
Jam (9, 44.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.6 shows)
Sparkle (8, 13.3 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 9.9 shows)
Waste (8, 12.1 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (8, 7.6 shows)
Carini (8, 6 shows)
Beauty of My Dreams (8, 33.9 shows)
Billy Breathes (7, 32.6 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 7.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 61% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.