Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-12-16, Reynolds Coliseum were:
Back on the Train (20, 5.2 shows)
Mike's Song (14, 4.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (14, 4.7 shows)
Ghost (13, 4.7 shows)
Birds of a Feather (13, 7.5 shows)
First Tube (13, 6 shows)
Character Zero (13, 4.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 7.6 shows)
Tweezer (13, 4.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (13, 5.2 shows)
Meatstick (12, 11.5 shows)
Simple (12, 7.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (12, 4.8 shows)
David Bowie (12, 5.7 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (12, 10.7 shows)
Possum (12, 4.3 shows)
Roggae (12, 9.6 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 4.1 shows)
Cavern (11, 5.9 shows)
Loving Cup (11, 8.2 shows)
Twist (10, 4.9 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (9, 9.6 shows)
Taste (9, 11.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (9, 7.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.6 shows)
When the Circus Comes (9, 16 shows)
Jam (9, 44.6 shows)
Boogie On Reggae Woman (8, 9.9 shows)
Sparkle (8, 13.3 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
Horn (8, 12.3 shows)
Waste (8, 12.1 shows)
Carini (8, 6 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Poor Heart (7, 14.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.