Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 1999-12-12, Hartford Civic Center were:
Farmhouse (18, 10.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (17, 3.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (14, 4.4 shows)
First Tube (13, 6 shows)
Character Zero (13, 4.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (13, 7.6 shows)
The Squirming Coil (12, 9.5 shows)
Punch You in the Eye (12, 10.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 4.6 shows)
Meatstick (12, 11.5 shows)
Free (12, 5 shows)
Prince Caspian (11, 7.3 shows)
Tube (11, 5.7 shows)
NICU (11, 8.9 shows)
Runaway Jim (10, 7.7 shows)
Stash (10, 5.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 4.9 shows)
Wilson (10, 6.6 shows)
Taste (9, 11.3 shows)
Bug (9, 8.6 shows)
Maze (9, 6.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (9, 6.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.6 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (9, 9.6 shows)
Jam (9, 44.6 shows)
Axilla (8, 11.6 shows)
Sparkle (8, 13.3 shows)
Carini (8, 6 shows)
Julius (8, 7.6 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (7, 19.3 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 11.9 shows)
Vultures (7, 23.6 shows)
Billy Breathes (7, 32.6 shows)
Frankenstein (7, 22.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (7, 7.6 shows)
Brian and Robert (7, 22.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.