Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-07-05, Folsom Field were:
Harry Hood (12, 6.2 shows)
Everything's Right (11, 6.7 shows)
46 Days (11, 6.7 shows)
Blaze On (11, 6.7 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (11, 8 shows)
Fuego (10, 7.3 shows)
Piper (9, 8.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (9, 8.9 shows)
Sigma Oasis (9, 8 shows)
Evolve (9, 8 shows)
First Tube (9, 8.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (9, 8 shows)
Golden Age (9, 8.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (8, 10 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 10 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 10 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 10 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 10 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 10 shows)
More (7, 10 shows)
Life Saving Gun (7, 11.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 11.4 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 11.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 13.3 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 13.3 shows)
David Bowie (6, 11.4 shows)
Bug (6, 13.3 shows)
Taste (6, 13.3 shows)
Cities (6, 13.3 shows)
The Squirming Coil (5, 16 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 16 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 16 shows)
Gumbo (5, 16 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 16 shows)
Steam (5, 16 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 67% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.