Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2025-07-04, Folsom Field were:
Tweezer (14, 8 shows)
Down with Disease (13, 8 shows)
Ghost (12, 6.7 shows)
Harry Hood (12, 6.7 shows)
46 Days (11, 7.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (11, 7.3 shows)
Everything's Right (11, 7.3 shows)
Blaze On (11, 7.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (10, 8 shows)
Back on the Train (10, 8 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (10, 8 shows)
What's Going Through Your Mind (9, 8.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (9, 8.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (9, 8.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 8.9 shows)
Oblivion (9, 8.9 shows)
Sigma Oasis (9, 8.9 shows)
Piper (9, 8.9 shows)
Evolve (9, 8.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 10 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 10 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (8, 11.4 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 10 shows)
Runaway Jim (8, 10 shows)
More (7, 11.4 shows)
Life Saving Gun (7, 11.4 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 13.3 shows)
David Bowie (6, 13.3 shows)
Bug (6, 13.3 shows)
Most Events Aren't Planned (6, 13.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (6, 13.3 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 16 shows)
Llama (5, 16 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 16 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 16 shows)
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.