Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-07-19, TD Pavilion at the Mann were:
The Moma Dance (12, 5.3 shows)
Simple (11, 7.8 shows)
Tweezer (11, 6.4 shows)
Lonely Trip (9, 9.5 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (9, 7.3 shows)
Piper (9, 7.1 shows)
Character Zero (9, 5.9 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 10.4 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 6.6 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 8.1 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (7, 12.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 9.5 shows)
Soul Planet (7, 18.3 shows)
More (6, 8.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 12.9 shows)
Stash (6, 6.3 shows)
Steam (6, 10 shows)
Shade (6, 12.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 9.5 shows)
The Lizards (6, 16.8 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.5 shows)
Meat (6, 18.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (5, 12.9 shows)
Light (5, 8.1 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 14.6 shows)
Mercury (5, 13.7 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 11.5 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 14.6 shows)
The Final Hurrah (5, 27.4 shows)
Rise/Come Together (5, 36.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.1 shows)
If I Could (5, 19.9 shows)
Wilson (5, 11 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 65% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.