Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-10-28, MGM Grand Garden Arena were:
Everything's Right (7, 5.5 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 5.2 shows)
Ghost (7, 5 shows)
Twist (6, 6.1 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (5, 10.4 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 7.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (5, 8.1 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (5, 15.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 9.5 shows)
Rift (5, 11 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.3 shows)
Character Zero (5, 6.1 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (5, 5.9 shows)
Possum (5, 5.9 shows)
The Wedge (4, 11 shows)
Ruby Waves (4, 7.3 shows)
Meat (4, 18.3 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.5 shows)
Plasma (4, 11 shows)
Stash (4, 6.4 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 18.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.5 shows)
Down with Disease (4, 6.3 shows)
Reba (4, 8.4 shows)
Cavern (4, 9.5 shows)
555 (3, 13.7 shows)
Waste (3, 12.9 shows)
Golden Age (3, 7.8 shows)
Farmhouse (3, 18.3 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 13.7 shows)
Destiny Unbound (3, 31.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.4 shows)
Fuego (3, 8.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 18% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.