Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-08-15, Atlantic City Beach were:
Twist (4, 6.1 shows)
Character Zero (3, 5.9 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (3, 7.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (3, 9.5 shows)
Down with Disease (2, 6.1 shows)
Simple (2, 7.8 shows)
Fuego (2, 7.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (2, 12.2 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (2, 10.4 shows)
NICU (2, 15.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (2, 8.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (2, 5.3 shows)
Sigma Oasis (2, 5.3 shows)
Back on the Train (2, 5.9 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (2, 7.3 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (2, 73 shows)
What's the Use? (2, 10.4 shows)
The Wedge (2, 11 shows)
Walls of the Cave (2, 14.6 shows)
First Tube (2, 6.3 shows)
Carini (2, 5.6 shows)
Cavern (2, 9.5 shows)
Golden Age (2, 7.8 shows)
Mike's Song (2, 7.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (2, 9.1 shows)
Gumbo (2, 14.6 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 21.9 shows)
Waste (2, 12.9 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (2, 6.8 shows)
Stash (2, 6.3 shows)
Steam (2, 10 shows)
Prince Caspian (2, 8.4 shows)
Rock and Roll (1, 31.3 shows)
Yarmouth Road (1, 73 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (1, 11.5 shows)
If I Could (1, 19.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 38% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.