Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-08-14, Atlantic City Beach were:
Twist (4, 6.1 shows)
Ghost (3, 4.9 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (3, 7.3 shows)
46 Days (2, 5.2 shows)
Limb By Limb (2, 21.9 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (2, 10.4 shows)
Down with Disease (2, 6.1 shows)
Simple (2, 7.8 shows)
Cavern (2, 9.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (2, 9.1 shows)
Waste (2, 12.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (2, 5.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (2, 5.3 shows)
Sigma Oasis (2, 5.3 shows)
Back on the Train (2, 5.9 shows)
What's the Use? (2, 10.4 shows)
Mike's Song (2, 7.8 shows)
Tube (2, 5.9 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (2, 15.6 shows)
The Wedge (2, 11 shows)
Walls of the Cave (2, 14.6 shows)
Makisupa Policeman (2, 73 shows)
Carini (2, 5.6 shows)
Stash (2, 6.3 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (1, 11.5 shows)
Yarmouth Road (1, 73 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (1, 27.4 shows)
Destiny Unbound (1, 31.3 shows)
Foam (1, 24.3 shows)
Martian Monster (1, 16.8 shows)
Evening Song (1, 73 shows)
Shade (1, 12.9 shows)
The Final Hurrah (1, 27.4 shows)
Dirt (1, 31.3 shows)
If I Could (1, 19.9 shows)
Contact (1, 73 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.