Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2020-02-21, Moon Palace were:
Plasma (11, 9.7 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (10, 6.1 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (10, 7.1 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5.1 shows)
Tube (8, 5.7 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.8 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 5.7 shows)
Turtle in the Clouds (7, 16.4 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 5.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6.3 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.1 shows)
Fuego (7, 7.3 shows)
Carini (7, 5.6 shows)
Rift (7, 9.4 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 5.2 shows)
The Wedge (7, 9.7 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 7.1 shows)
Death Don't Hurt Very Long (6, 26.3 shows)
Piper (6, 6.9 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 11.4 shows)
Undermind (6, 13.2 shows)
NICU (5, 13.8 shows)
Simple (5, 7.7 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.1 shows)
Gumbo (5, 13.2 shows)
Twenty Years Later (5, 20.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 12 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 18.8 shows)
We Are Come to Outlive Our Brains (5, 37.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 12.5 shows)
Waste (5, 11.4 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.7 shows)
Limb By Limb (4, 18.8 shows)
Reba (4, 8.8 shows)
555 (4, 13.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.